The Israeli government feels it is urgent to further expand its fight against Hamas and Hezbollah.
On Monday, Israel engaged in its most deadly attacks in Lebanon since its 2006 invasion of the country, striking heavily populated areas throughout southern Lebanon — including hitting medical centres and ambulances, according to the Lebanese health minister — and expanding its attacks to Beirut and the Bekaa Valley in the east.
As if civilians could be expected to know where weapons stores might be, the IDF’s Arabic-language spokesperson Avichay Adraee said Israel warned people to go away from places where Hezballah could have hidden weapons. The message on X sounded as:
“If you are inside or near a house containing Hezbollah weapons- you must leave it and move away from it within two hours to a distance of no less than 1,000 meters outside the village, or go to the central school near you and do not return until further notice.
Anyone who is near Hezbollah elements, facilities, and weapons is putting his life and the lives of his family members at risk.”
Israeli forces subsequently bombed the area.
While the IDF has portrayed these orders as humanitarian-motivated evacuation warnings, it has issued identical communications throughout its 11-month war against the Palestinians of Gaza only to later bomb areas to which it told residents to flee. Also, this time schools and ordinary homes were bombed.
Israel has launched numerous brutal military campaigns in Lebanon in prior decades. Its claim today that it is aiming to protect civilian life with evacuation messages was widely rejected by Lebanese and other observers — and fed suspicion that Israel is attempting to ethnically cleanse southern Lebanon of its residents to establish a military buffer zone inside Lebanese territory.
For many it is clear that the Israelis would not have launched such large scale attacks without a “green light” from the U.S.. Karim Makdisi, a professor of international politics at the American University in Beirut, told Drop Site News:
“I think they’ve been given a kind of clear understanding that they have until the elections to do what they want.”
The Lebanese understand that basically, the West has given up even pretending to do anything about it. The Lebanese people have expressed several times in interviews with the foreign press that they are fed up with this war that their country appears to be stuck with.

In the previous months, Israel managed to bring the Gaza Strip to almost total destruction and kill a lot of Palestinians, while the Western World largely let it happen. Emboldened by this, it now sees its chances of further targeting Hezbollah. As long as Israel enjoys unconditional American support, it knows it can violate international norms and laws of war, and perhaps even resort to the deployment of nuclear weapons — with U.S. backing.
Over the past several weeks, U.S. officials have made public statements claiming that they would like to see a “diplomatic resolution” to the stand-off between Israel and Hezbollah that began after October 7 of last year. Some officials have also claimed that the U.S. has been working to prevent an escalation, with U.S. National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby telling ABC News on Sunday that the U.S. was trying to prevent “all-out war” between the two sides and that the Biden administration disagreed with Israel’s policy of expanding the conflict into Lebanon.
Iran does not wish to confront Israel directly while the U.S. is prepared to deploy warships across the region in Israel’s defence. Israel’s need for direct U.S., European, and even Arab military intervention to defend itself against non-state actors in Palestine and Lebanon exposes its own strategic vulnerabilities.
Although it’s possible that a second Trump administration, or the present one, might support Israel in an attack on Iran, it is highly unlikely that the U.S. would participate in a full-scale war against Iran, especially after the failures of recent U.S. military interventions in the Middle East.
While Iran remains the only country willing to risk its own stability and economic well-being to provide military and financial support to Arab resistance groups, there is growing pressure from Arab public opinion for Iran to take more direct action against Israel if it is to benefit from its continued support for the Palestinian cause.
Iran is not so crazy as to go all-out against Israel. After all, they do not want another war situation that would put them in penury for years to come.
Gulf media outlets have already accused Iran of avoiding direct confrontation with Israel, but this war which is unfolding, involving key Iranian allies Hamas and Hezbollah, is one of the longest in the history of the Arab-Israeli conflict (perhaps with the possible exception of the war of attrition between Egypt and Israel, 1968 and 1970).
Makdisi assesses that the U.S. wants to separate the Gaza and Lebanese fronts in an effort to force Hezbollah to end its attacks against northern Israel. Hezbollah has maintained that it will not do so until a ceasefire is reached in Gaza — a point which Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah’s secretary general, emphasised in a speech last Friday.
“Whatever the sacrifices, whatever the consequences, whatever may happen, we will not cease our support for Gaza, and Lebanon’s front with Israel will not stop until the aggression on Gaza stops,”
Nasrallah said in his first speech following Israel’s surprise attacks last week, when thousands of pagers exploded simultaneously, killing more than a dozen people and wounding hundreds more. Later in that week walkie-talkies used by Hezbollah forces detonated in similar fashion killing more people.
Makdisi said that since its 1982 invasion of Lebanon, Israel has aimed to demilitarise the south of that country, including through its 2006 ground war. Hezbollah is widely seen as having defeated Israel in the 2006 conflict by forcing it into a ceasefire. Makdisi assesses that Israel – with U.S. backing – believes that it can achieve its goal this time by smashing Hezbollah’s military capabilities in the south and imposing its will on the region.
“They can’t coexist with any country around them or any people around them without them accepting defeat. That just is a prerequisite. So this just has to be contextualised not just in the history of Lebanon, but Zionism itself,”
Makdisi said.
Israel
“needs the Palestinians to give up, needed the Egyptians to give up. It needed the Jordanians to give up and it needs the Lebanese to give up. That is the context.”



























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