Significant results of investigations concerning election preference in the UK

After twelve years of Tory rule, the only concrete achievement it can point to is that it “got Brexit done”, by allowing its members to tell a lot of lies to the British people and stepping in the tril of the right-wing politicians and anti-Europe Nigel Farage.

On the mainland, we could only hope that the British would wake up from the Uforian Brexit dream that drew the country into the depths of the British Channel earlier.

Most Brexiteers did not vote in 2016 for thousands of people to turn up in the UK uninvited and have public funds lavished on them in this way. Though instead of being more secure and having European control, it looks like England lost control totally. Taxpayers want to know what those who claim to be in charge are doing about this.

A YouGov survey conducted on November 29-30 had put the Conservatives at 22 per cent, down three per cent and some 25 points behind Labour at 47 per cent.

This Friday’s polling suggests there is a growing threat on the Right for Mr Sunak amid fears of an exodus to the right-wing populist political party Reform UK. Only some four years old it seems to have been quickly growing, finding lots of interest from the man on the street. Founded as the Brexit Party in November 2018, endorsing Euroscepticism, it was renamed on 4 January 2021 after Brexit, becoming primarily an anti-lockdown party and in its tradition spreading fake news as previously known, from its founder Nigel Farage.

Logo of the Reform UK.svgThe Brexit Party styled itself as being focused on reform of democracy in Britain, this by the understanding we know what those right-wingers mean by ‘democracy’. On contesting the 2019 European Parliament election, it became the largest party in the UK contingent. Though instead making clear what their lies were and how they brought free speech and equality in danger, the conservative party had several members who liked shaking hands with those liars. Former UKIP leader Farage offered an electoral pact to the Conservative Party for the 2019 general election, and although this was turned down, the Brexit Party unilaterally decided not to stand candidates in constituencies won by Conservative candidates in the previous election.

After the withdrawal from the European Union (31 January 2020) proposals to re-brand the Brexit Party as the Reform Party got positive results. On 4 January 2021, the party’s name change to Reform UK was approved by the Electoral Commission.

Last year we saw many members of the conservative party defect to Reform UK, which also gave a clear picture of the internal divisions of that party.

A minor political party in the United Kingdom established in 1990, combining moderate social conservatism with centre-left economic policy and support for a social market economy, founded by Jack Holmes, under the leadership by William Clouston (since 2018) announced last October an electoral pact with the right-wing populist and Eurosceptic party, Reform UK. That does not seem such a bad choice and will not do any harm to both parties.

The PR campaign that might have been mounted to lead the public to believe that the government’s relationship with the EU is improving and giving the impression that a better deal with Northern Ireland could come close at hand, did not reassure the British people.

According Farage Rishi Sunak virtually fawned over President Macron at their recent meeting in Egypt, which for him can only mean one thing:

our position on the EU is slackening.

The ultimate consequence of this will be to make it easy for the next Labour government to sign up Britain to the single market again. Brexit in Name Only (BRINO) seems to be on its way.

he says.

Many Tory MPs with whom Farage has spoken are hoping against hope that the party can turn this situation around. But Farage is clear and says:

Let me save them a lot of trouble: it isn’t going to happen. The Brexiteers and free-marketeers have been reduced to a backbench rump. Sunak, who allegedly voted for Brexit (though was noticeably quiet during the referendum campaign) and Hunt (an out and out Europhile) run the show now.

A poll in early November showed that 12 per cent of the public would be very interested in backing a new venture if it were launched next year, while 16 per cent would be quite interested.

On 8 November 2022, the Boundary Commission for England published revised proposals for the new English constituencies. The number of English seats has risen from 533 to 543. The estimated political breakdown of these seats gave 13 seats more for the conservatives (358 seats), Labour losing two coming up to 178 seats, the Liberals also losing one getting 6 seats), Green, equal with 1 seat.

Mr Farage, who is spoken at in shops, on the street and gets lots of e-mails asking him to do something at the present situation, therefore refused to rule out the possibility of creating a new party and said he had been “overwhelmed” by those requests to do so from voters who have emailed him and approached him at the supermarket.

The poll, conducted for The Telegraph by Public First, found that 38 per cent of Conservative voters would consider supporting a new party led by him, with 43 per cent of Brexiteers saying the same. Now a few weeks later, Friday’s poll shows Reform, led by Richard Tice, polling at almost half of the Conservative vote share.

The Tories fell to a low of 14 per cent in People Polling data on October 21 as Liz Truss’s government rapidly collapsed.

Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour has increased its lead by one percentage point, polling at 47 per cent and may see the gap reducing between the Tories and Labour by six percentage points and the increase of seats the Conservatives would win by 76.

It may well be said that Sunak inherited a disastrous electoral position from Liz Truss, the party’s improved showing is best described as less disastrous. The party’s current 27.2 percent voter support is lower than its showing in every election since 1900. The predicted Conservative return of 134 MPs would be the worst defeat of any governing party since 1931.

In anticipation of an electoral rout, dozens of Conservative MPs are already announcing that they will not stand for re-election. MPs in their 60s are describing their departure as retirement. Others have lost their seat by the action of the boundary commissioners re-drawing constituency boundaries so that parts of their existing constituency are scattered among constituencies that already have a Conservative MP in place.

We may not overlook Farage’s winning two national elections under proportional representation, the last time he tried an all-out assault at a general election, he managed to win a not to ignore four million votes and one seat.

Support for a new Farage-led party according to the polls was higher among those who described themselves as “very comfortable” financially, among whom 60 per cent said they would be “very interested” or “quite interested” in voting for him.

Across the whole of Western Europe, we notice the dangerous shift that took place in Eastern Europe a few years ago, where the right-wing camp has already curtailed many civil liberties and much ill-treatment against refugees is revealed.

That populism that has taken place and won in Eastern Europe is something we can miss here in Western Europe as a toothache. People like Farage and Tom Van Grieken are already getting more followers than we like, and know all too well how they can respond to the crowd to put them in their cart.

We must not overlook how the current economic crisis creates a ground for people to find a way out of what they emphasize in their purchasing power and freedom from that do things they would like to do. It is very easy to blame someone else for it, and right-wing politicians blame those who have fled their country to find better places here. Very little is pointed out by those right-wing people to the wealthy in our society who are getting richer because they take advantage of the increased prices resulting from the debt of war in Ukraine and take advantage of the gas and oil shortages that are actually not so.

Everywhere we can diagnose that people have become so selfish and so much directed to gaining more money and goods for themselves, that they are not willing anymore to share their place with others, and certainly not with those who come from another country. Greed has become the driving force in our economy which is based on acquiring more material wealth (ad infinitum).

It is now in the hands of those who really mean well with the people, to make the citizens of their country understand the need that together we must make the best of building a diverse dignified society in which there is room for everyone with respect and love for each other.
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Preceding

Pushing people in a corner danger for indoctrination and loss of democratic values –  Populism, authoritarianism and xenophobia

Populism endangering democracy

United in an open society relying not on command and control but on freedom

2019 was #1 a Year of Raising fire and voices

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  6. The Telegraph looking at the second week of August 2022
  7. The Telegraph 2022 September 05 – 11
  8. Public opinion on the ECJ spells trouble for Sunak
  9. Belgium showing signs of pre-Nazi Germany making certain people afraid to show up in public

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About Marcus Ampe

Retired dancer, choreographer, choreologist Founder of the Dance impresario office and archive: Danscontact-Dansarchief plus the Association for Bible scholars, the Lifestyle magazines "Stepping Toes" and "From Guestwriters" and creator of the site "Messiah for all". - Gepensioneerd danser, choreograaf, choreoloog. Stichter van Danscontact-Dansarchief plus van de Vereniging voor Bijbelvorsers, de Lifestyle magazines "Stepping Toes" en "From Guestwriters" en maker van de site "Messiah for all".
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3 Responses to Significant results of investigations concerning election preference in the UK

  1. Pingback:  Societies can only progress if the people within them are brought along – Some View on the World

  2. Pingback: Rising euro-skepticism must be a wake-up call for Europe – Some View on the World

  3. Pingback: The Many Faces of Extremism | Marcus Ampe's Space

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